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Who will win the Scottish Parliament election?

Politics
United Kingdom
Started April 12, 2026

The New Statesman's poll tracker and forecast model for May's Holyrood parliament elections

Source Articles

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💡 Progress updates live here. Final readiness is confirmed when all three requirements are met.

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CLAIM Posted by will • Apr 12, 2026
The Scottish Parliament election outcome will significantly impact Scotland's future, especially regarding independence and public spending.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Apr 12, 2026
A shift in power in the Scottish Parliament could lead to instability and hinder economic recovery efforts post-pandemic.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Apr 12, 2026
The election results are likely to reflect a growing divide in Scottish politics, highlighting the need for unity and compromise.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Apr 12, 2026
Voter apathy could undermine the legitimacy of the election outcome, raising concerns about the democratic process in Scotland.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Apr 12, 2026
The dominance of the SNP in the Scottish Parliament is essential for advancing progressive policies on climate change and social justice.
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💡 How This Works

  • • Add Statements: Post claims or questions (10-500 characters)
  • • Vote: Agree, Disagree, or Unsure on each statement
  • • Respond: Add detailed pro/con responses with evidence
  • • Consensus: After enough participation, analysis reveals opinion groups and areas of agreement

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