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Education

童年邻居很重要

我们探讨了相邻邻居在影响儿童日后职业选择中的作用。利用超过600万男孩和400万女孩的关联历史人口普查记录,我们重建了邻域微观地理,以估计在特定职业的邻居身边长大如何影响儿童从事该职业的概率。[...] 本文《童年邻居很重要》首次发表于《边际革命》。相关故事:成绩膨胀需思考的句子;增长...

United States
Technology

How should we prepare for the changes that AI technology is bringing to our lives and communities?

OpenAI's ChatGPT previewed the future with its chatbot release in late 2022. Anthropic's latest Claude AI takes you there. Why it matters: Claude Opus 4.5 — which powers Anthropic's agent tools, Claude Code for developers and the newly released Cowork — lets anyone quickly turn an idea into a functioning program or app, using plain English. In eight hours, Jim built four apps on his phone — all fully functioning, all beautifully designed and intuitive. "My mind is officially blown in a way it never has been before," he texted Mike on Thursday. We've been building products and companies for 20 years. Any of those apps would have taken multiple people and many weeks to hit this level of design and usability.Jim wanted to create a test to screen for people who'll excel at using AI. He built a 30-question quiz on his phone in two hours, then easily added five-minute training courses for each skill set. Claude shows in vivid and unforgettable ways how easily AI will perform complex human tasks instantly — and forever change work, jobs and chores. Google, OpenAI, xAI and other competitors are racing to match and exceed Claude. You can assume there'll be leapfrogging advancements in this hyper-competitive race.Yes, these AI tools remain imperfect. But when you experiment with them, you'll see they're advancing lightning-fast. The big picture: 2026 seems increasingly likely to be the year AI will go from fascinating aspiration to actual widespread application. Chris Lehane, OpenAI's chief global affairs officer, tells us: "The whole waterline in capabilities has risen — everyone who has a boat, whether a big boat or a smaller boat, is rising on this rising tide. The capabilities are moving faster, and we as a society need to move faster if we want as many people as possible to have a fair chance of getting their fair piece of the intelligence age." Inside Jim's test run: I used Claude Opus 4.5, Anthropic's flagship AI, accessed through a $20/month Claude Pro subscription. H

全球
Technology

Saturday assorted links

1. Another AI-generated hit song. 2. AI does Tyler Cowen on AI. 3. Adam Tooze profile. 4. Egg prices fell about twenty percent this year, GPT will tell you that supply is elastic. 5. How difficult is Spanish to understand in various countries? (I think Chilean Spanish is not as tough as suggested here.) 6. […] The post Saturday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

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