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Economy

The Kalshi Citizen Debt Forecast (CDF)

Kalshi Research is doing interesting work on the fundamentals of prediction markets and also on how data from prediction markets can be used to improve other forecasts. Economists at the Fed, for example, recently wrote Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets finding: Prediction markets offer a new market-based approach to measuring macroeconomic expectations in […] The post The Kalshi Citizen Debt Forecast (CDF) appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesHow are the market valuations...

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Culture

Tearing at the fabric

St Paul’s decision to collaborate with Fabric reflects a wider retreat from Britain’s Christian heritage and an unequal approach to faith Source

United Kingdom
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Culture

The Church’s Gender Gap Problem

When I was growing up, it wasn’t uncommon to hear women bemoan their husbands’ absence from church. I remember scanning the pews of St. Peter’s in Plattsburgh, New York,. The post The Church’s Gender Gap Problem appeared first on First Things

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