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War on the Rocks

War on the Rocks

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Platform for analysis, commentary, and debate on foreign policy and national security.

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Geopolitics

What could the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz mean for trade and safety in the region?

Maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains at levels before the Iran-US agreement, says the Kpler maritime tracking platform, but there are signs of recovery ahead of Friday's official reopening. Eight ships carrying raw materials transited the strait on Monday, and six on Tuesday, according to Kpler data updated Wednesday. The agreement was reached overnight Sunday. This rate is comparable to the previous week, which saw an average of eight transits per day

Global
Geopolitics

The New Food Powers: How China and Russia Are Filling America’s Retreat

In January 2025, when the Trump administration froze nearly all foreign aid, more than 1,000 emergency communal kitchens in Sudan shut down within weeks. Half a million displaced people lost access to clean water. Famine conditions that had been held at bay collapsed into crisis. Within months, Russian grain ships arrived in African ports and Chinese agricultural delegations expanded across the continent. Decisions made in Washington marked the end of seven decades of American dominance in hu...

United States
Technology

The Triage Trap: When AI Speed Replaces Command Judgment

A targeting screen fills with structures, heat signatures, and a rapidly closing window. Aircraft have only minutes of fuel left when an AI highlights a single building, and suddenly the decision space collapses to one bright box.This is the triage trap: a pattern in which AI-enabled workflows determine which options reach command judgment in the first place, before a commander weighs alternatives. What the model elevates becomes the decision — what it filters out disappears. This is no...

Global