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Trump's import levies are still changing the patterns of international trade
Wall Street bulls need a lot to go right if 2026 is going to deliver a fourth straight year of double-digit returns. Trade tensions between the US and its neighbors remain high. The US economy is showing signs of sluggishness, interest rates are elevated even after three cuts and the artificial intelligence trade is far from a slam dunk
The U.S. economy was beaten and battered in 2025, and powered ahead despite it all. The big picture: The question for 2026 is whether the underlying sources of weakness that are already evident will broaden out into something that threatens to undermine its overall resilience. Threat level: Beneath buoyant growth in GDP and asset prices are serious worries. The labor market is looking softer by the month.Elevated inflation is pinching family budgets. And fears are rising that the AI-fueled boom could leave ordinary workers worse off. The big picture: Those pain points have already caused public opinion on the economy to turn sharply negative. At the same time, one lesson of 2025 is that the U.S. economy is awfully adaptable and can withstand more challenges than you might expect. Zoom in: In April, President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs sent the stock market swooning and economists upgrading their recession odds. It wasn't the only sign of trouble. Job growth came to a near-halt over the summer. Deportations and restrictionist immigration are part of the story, along with the aging of the native-born workforce. But part of it is that companies are trying to get leaner.Inflation, meanwhile, has become the fire that will not be fully doused. While the sky-high inflation of 2022 is a thing of the past, inflation has been above the Federal Reserve's target 2% target every single month since March 2021. Affordability is top of mind in public opinion. Reality check: It's important to remember, though, that the $30 trillion U.S. economy, for all its flaws, can weather a lot, at least at the macro level. It is, as RSM chief economist Joe Brusuelas puts it, a "dynamic and resilient beast."
As temperatures fall across much of the UK, how should you heat your home and keep yourself safe?
New tax brackets, higher standard deductions and expanded credits are now in effect — changes that could boost paychecks and lower income taxes for many Americans in 2026 and beyond. Why it matters: The IRS updates reflect annual inflation adjustments and sweeping tax changes signed into law last summer in the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), making several provisions from the 2017 tax overhaul permanent. The biggest changes include new tax breaks for seniors and tipped workers, as well as the extension of tax provisions from President Trump's first term. Catch up fast: Tax breaks created by last year's law — including changes affecting Social Security income and the elimination of federal income tax on tips — can be claimed on tax returns filed in 2026. The IRS's new 2026 tax brackets are starting to affect paychecks now and will apply to returns filed in 2027.2026 income tax brackets The big picture: Each year, the Internal Revenue Service adjusts more than 60 tax provisions to prevent "bracket creep," which happens when inflation pushes workers into higher tax br
After biggest loss for producers since 2020 the slide could continue, with global output expected to remain high Source Articles: - The Guardian