How should policymakers adapt to the changes in the global economy to address emerging challenges and opportunities?
Damage caused by US tariffs has so far been muted but that won’t last
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Damage caused by US tariffs has so far been muted but that won’t last
DAVOS, Switzerland -- BlackRock CEO Larry Fink will open the World Economic Forum with a blunt acknowledgment that Davos — and the economic system it represents — is facing a crisis of legitimacy. Why it matters: As thousands of executives and global leaders descend on the Swiss Alps for a week of cocktails and canapés, WEF's interim co-chair will warn that the prosperity they celebrate has left too many people behind. Outside of the United Nations, this year's conference marks "the largest gathering of global leadership of the post-COVID era," Fink will say in his opening remarks Tuesday."But now for the harder question," he'll add. "Will anyone outside this room care?" The big picture: Fink, who inherits the mantle of "mayor of Davos" from WEF founder Klaus Schwab, is casting this year's forum as an elite gathering struggling for relevance in an age of populism and deep institutional distrust. "Many of the people most affected by what we talk about here will never come to this conference," Fink will acknowledge."Prosperity isn't just growth in the aggregate. It can't be measured by GDP or the market caps of the world's largest companies alone. It has to be judged by how many people can see it, touch it, and build a future on it." Between the lines: Fink believes the AI revolution — a theme of virtually every pavilion on the Davos promenade — will pose the ultimate test of whether capitalism can deliver prosperity beyond its traditional winners. "Since the fall of the Berlin Wall, more wealth has been created than in all prior human history combined," the world's most powerful asset manager will say. Most of it has accrued to the kinds of people who attend Davos."Now AI threatens to replay the same pattern," Fink will warn. "If AI does to white-collar work what globalization did to blue-collar, we need to confront that directly." What to watch: Fink's remarks set the stage for a week in which Davos' elite consensus will be tested by populist politics — including Pr
French Finance Minister Roland Lescure said the 2026 deficit could exceed 5.4% of economic output after parliament failed to adopt a budget bill before the end of last year
Metals fell at the end of a dramatic week, as news of a Chinese clampdown down on high-frequency trading cooled sentiment after frenzied activity in mainland futures that fueled global price gains
The replacement to the Household Support Fund aims to help people facing sudden difficulties
Mayor concerned that capital will be at ‘sharpest edge of change’ given dependence on white-collar jobs
It is premature to assume the AI era will lead to non-inflationary growth like the ’90s computing boom
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Trump's import levies are still changing the patterns of international trade
Wall Street bulls need a lot to go right if 2026 is going to deliver a fourth straight year of double-digit returns. Trade tensions between the US and its neighbors remain high. The US economy is showing signs of sluggishness, interest rates are elevated even after three cuts and the artificial intelligence trade is far from a slam dunk
The U.S. economy was beaten and battered in 2025, and powered ahead despite it all. The big picture: The question for 2026 is whether the underlying sources of weakness that are already evident will broaden out into something that threatens to undermine its overall resilience. Threat level: Beneath buoyant growth in GDP and asset prices are serious worries. The labor market is looking softer by the month.Elevated inflation is pinching family budgets. And fears are rising that the AI-fueled boom could leave ordinary workers worse off. The big picture: Those pain points have already caused public opinion on the economy to turn sharply negative. At the same time, one lesson of 2025 is that the U.S. economy is awfully adaptable and can withstand more challenges than you might expect. Zoom in: In April, President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs sent the stock market swooning and economists upgrading their recession odds. It wasn't the only sign of trouble. Job growth came to a near-halt over the summer. Deportations and restrictionist immigration are part of the story, along with the aging of the native-born workforce. But part of it is that companies are trying to get leaner.Inflation, meanwhile, has become the fire that will not be fully doused. While the sky-high inflation of 2022 is a thing of the past, inflation has been above the Federal Reserve's target 2% target every single month since March 2021. Affordability is top of mind in public opinion. Reality check: It's important to remember, though, that the $30 trillion U.S. economy, for all its flaws, can weather a lot, at least at the macro level. It is, as RSM chief economist Joe Brusuelas puts it, a "dynamic and resilient beast."
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