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Geopolitics

How could Pakistan's involvement in U.S.-Iran talks affect peace and relations in the region?

Pakistan's top military commander, Field Marshal Asim Munir, landed in Tehran on Friday as part of an effort to reach a deal under which the U.S. and Iran would agree to end the war and launch negotiations for a broader agreement, a Pakistani security source told Axios. Why it matters: Munir has been the lead mediator between the U.S. and Iran since the war began. The fact that he's in Tehran after several days of lower-level talks could signal a final push by Pakistan to try to get a deal. The latest: Munir arrived in Tehran on Friday and was received by Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni, the Pakistani military said in a statement. A Qatari delegation also arrived in Tehran to support the mediation effort, Reuters first reported and a source familiar confirmed to Axios. Driving the news: The mediators are trying to finalize a letter of intent that includes an agreement to end the war and principles for another 30 days of negotiations on a broader deal that would also address Iran's nuclear program. Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Turkey have all been involved in the mediation.It has remained unclear whether Iran would be willing to sign such a document at a time when some in Tehran appear to believe the leverage is on their side. What they're saying: "There's been some slight progress. I don't want to exaggerate it, but there's been a little bit of movement, and that's good," Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Friday. He added that the fundamental demand is that "Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. It just cannot."Rubio said a deal would have to address Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium and enrichment policy going forward.He also said Iran must not be allowed to set up "tolls" in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran reiterated its intention to establish such a system on Thursday. Go deeper: Trump bleeds votes in Congress to keep Iran war going This story was updated to note Munir's arrival in Tehran

Pakistan
Geopolitics

How can countries work together to improve earthquake response efforts in places like Venezuela?

Teams from California to Florida are helping Venezuelans rebound from devastating earthquakes that killed over 900 people, according to the latest death toll figures authorities announced on Friday. Search and rescue operations are entering their third full day, after Venezuelan officials estimated at least 920 people were killed and over 3,300 were injured from a […]

United States
Geopolitics

What could the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz mean for trade and safety in the region?

Maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains at levels before the Iran-US agreement, says the Kpler maritime tracking platform, but there are signs of recovery ahead of Friday's official reopening. Eight ships carrying raw materials transited the strait on Monday, and six on Tuesday, according to Kpler data updated Wednesday. The agreement was reached overnight Sunday. This rate is comparable to the previous week, which saw an average of eight transits per day

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Geopolitics

What role should Oman play in promoting peace in the Middle East?

As French President Emmanuel Macron meets Sultan Haitham bin Tariq of Oman amid efforts to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East, François Picard welcomes Dawud Al Ansari, a geopolitics and energy analyst. As diplomacy in the Gulf is once again being tested by renewed military tensions, Al Ansari offers a nuanced assessment from an Omani perspective, arguing that Oman is playing an increasingly valuable strategic role

France
Geopolitics

What are the implications for peace in the region if both Israel and Lebanon disagree about territorial changes?

BEIRUT, June 25 (Reuters) - Senior Israeli and Lebanese officials denied on Thursday that there had been any Israeli withdrawal from occupied southern Lebanon, after a U.S. official said Israel had pulled some of its troops back in a good faith gesture toward Lebanon's government. Israel and Lebanon have been discussing a U.S.-backed proposal for Israeli forces to transfer some of the Lebanese territory invaded in their war with Hezbollah to Lebanon's military, in a possible step toward restoring Lebanese control of occupied territory

Lebanon