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Semafor

Newspaper | United States | Centro-Esquerda

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Economy

What are the possible effects of the Jackson Hole conference on our economy and community policies?

We are back in Jackson Hole! And this year's Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City symposium on monetary policy marks the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, and Fed observers all over the world will be closely watching his Friday speech for signs of how he might further distinguish himself, and the institution, from the Powell era. This meeting at Jackson Hole also comes at a fascinating and tense time for monetary policy in the US and abroad: high bond yields, above-target inflation, and AI's still unrealized effect on broader parts of the economy. We speak with Jeffrey Schmid, the president and CEO of the Kansas City Fed, about what to expect and he also shares his thoughts on the wave of baby boomer retirements and how it’s affecting the labor force, his recent FOMC votes, and he explains why this symposium is so focused on payments. See Odd Lots Live in LA September 2026 https://events.bloombergevents.com/event/ODDLOTSLA/summary (Source: Bloomberg)

United States
Politics

How might changes in campaign ad rules affect the fairness of elections for all parties?

A federal appeals court ruling Tuesday could erase a new midterm advantage for Republicans. Why it matters: The 2-1 ruling would block Republicans from using cash-rich party committees to buy more political TV ads at discounted rates. Republicans plan to appeal the decision, setting up another high-stakes campaign finance fight as the fall ad wars heat up ahead of November. Driving the news: The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit ruled the FCC was wrong to extend discounted candidate broadcast rates to political parties and joint fundraising committees that include non-candidate groups for ads they coordinate with candidates. The rates paid by super PACs and other outside groups are often several times higher than candidate rates.The case was brought by four Democratic candidates running this cycle — Sen. Jon Ossoff (Ga.), former Sen. Sherrod Brown (Ohio), former Gov. Roy Cooper (N.C.) and Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet (Mich.)The U.S. Supreme Court in June struck down limits on how much committees can spend in coordination with campaigns. Between the lines: Republicans believed the Supreme Court decision, paired with FCC guidance extending candidate rates to certain coordinated ads, would allow party committee cash to stretch further. The ruling applied to both parties.But while Democratic candidates generally have stronger grassroots fundraising, Republican Party committees have amassed larger war chests, fueled by megadonorsRepublicans believed the Supreme Court decision, paired with FCC guidance, allowed party committee cash to stretch further by accessing lower rates reserved for candidates. What they're saying: "Put plainly, today's ruling makes clear that lowest unit rate is an exclusive right given to candidates and incumbent campaigns and that is the law of the land," DSCC executive director Devan Barber and DCCC executive director Julie Merz said in a joint statement. "Democratic candidates' strong grassroots fundraising amplifying the voice of ever

United States
Geopolitics

How should the U.S. respond to foreign hacking threats against government agencies?

The Justice Department on Wednesday said it shut down several platforms linked to China that hacked the Senate and multiple government agencies. Officials said a Chinese company linked to the Beijing government hacked into multiple federal agencies, including the Federal Reserve, National Institutes of Health, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and the Departments of Justice, […]

United States
Geopolitics

How might the U.S. increasing economic pressure on Iran affect its relationships with other countries?

DUBAI, Aug 20 (Reuters) - A threat by U.S. President Donald Trump to impose unprecedented economic warfare and isolation on Iran could have implications for countries that trade with it. Trump warned of economic consequences for any country that supports Iran. Here are some of Iran's main trading partners in recent years: CHINA China, the biggest buyer of Iranian oil, could face additional pressures from the U.S. over its purchases if Trump follows through on his promise

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