What effects could Kevin Warsh's leadership at the Federal Reserve have on the economy and everyday people's lives?
The Warsh era begins with soaring inflation, a Middle East energy shock bleeding into other parts of the economy and colleagues skeptical that rate cuts should come anytime soon. Add on top: Kevin Warsh faces more political pressure to deliver lower rates than any other Federal Reserve chair in recent memory. Why it matters: The 17th Fed chair, sworn in Friday at the White House, inherits a set of economic conditions that make it difficult to justify cutting rates. Despite President Trump's unprecedented pressure on Warsh's predecessor, Jerome Powell, to cut rates, the president struck a different tone on Friday."Honestly, I really mean this: I want Kevin to be totally independent and just do a great job. Don't look at me, don't look at anybody. Just do your own thing and do a great job," Trump said at Warsh's swearing-in ceremony. What they're saying: "Our mandate at the Fed is to promote price stability and maximum employment," Warsh said. "When we pursue those aims with wisdom and clarity, independence and resolve, inflation can be lower, growth stronger, real take-home pay higher, and America can be more prosperous, and no less important, America's place in the world more secure.""To fulfill this mission," he added, "I will lead a reform-oriented Federal Reserve, learning from past successes and mistakes, both escaping static frameworks and models, and upholding clear standards of integrity and performance." The intrigue: Not long before Warsh was officially sworn into the post, Fed governor Christopher Waller gave a notable speech that cemented his hawkish pivot. Just months ago, he was a leading advocate for rate cuts to boost what he saw as a souring labor market. Waller's speech, aptly titled "Policy Risks Have Changed," suggests his view has flipped.Waller said it might be appropriate to strip the Fed's policy statement of its "easing bias" language, aligning with a group of Fed presidents who dissented last month over the inclusion of such a signal. Zoom i