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The fertility asymptote?

Society
Global
Started February 18, 2026

From a recent paper by Sebastian Galiani and Raul A. Sosa: Fertility rates have fallen below replacement in most countries, fueling predictions of demographic collapse. We show these forecasts overlook a crucial fact: societies are not homogeneous. Using the Bisin–Verdier model of cultural transmission with endogenous fertility and direct socialization, calibrated to U.S. and global […] The post The fertility asymptote? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to k m. So you ar...

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CLAIM Posted by will • Feb 18, 2026
Addressing declining birth rates requires targeted policies that support families and promote work-life balance, rather than alarmist predictions.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Feb 18, 2026
Cultural diversity within nations means that fertility trends cannot be generalized; some communities may still prioritize larger families.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Feb 18, 2026
Predictions of demographic collapse ignore the adaptability of societies, which can counterbalance low fertility through immigration.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Feb 18, 2026
The decline in fertility rates poses a serious threat to economic stability, risking workforce shortages and increased elder care costs.
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CLAIM Posted by will • Feb 18, 2026
Falling fertility rates are a sign of societal progress, indicating greater access to education and women's rights.
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