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What are the different ways Brexit has changed the economy, and how should we respond to these changes?

经济
United States
开始于 2026年6月24日

Data: Factset; Chart: Danielle Alberti/Axios Brexit is the real-world test of what happens when a major economy voluntarily raises trade barriers, restricts the free flow of workers and generates years of policy uncertainty — all at once. A decade since the vote to leave the European Union, the results are largely in. Why it matters: The economic drag came from overlapping effects. Businesses held off on investment as uncertainty dragged on, executives spent years consumed by Brexit logistics, and the firms most integrated with European markets were often the ones hit hardest. By the numbers: Since the Brexit referendum, the U.K. economy has grown about 13% — less than half the American pace over the same period, according to FactSet calculations. But even that growth gap might understate the cost of Brexit. A paper updated this month from economists at Stanford, the Bank of England, King's College London and the University of Nottingham estimates that by the end of 2025, Brexit had made the U.K. economy between 6% and 8% smaller than it would have been had the country voted to remain. The authors estimate business investment was between 12% and 13% lower than the counterfactual, a gap that widened gradually over the full decade.Both employment and productivity were as much as 4% lower than they otherwise would have been, the authors estimate. The intrigue: Economists who predicted Brexit's costs before the vote were roughly right in the first five years — but few understood how much the damage would keep piling up over a full decade, the authors note in the paper. The bottom line, via Axios' Zach Basu: Britain remains marooned in a low-growth cycle: saddled with trade friction, high prices, strained public services and a hyper-sensitive electorate that tolerates virtually no political failure. Go deeper: Britain's lost decade

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
The economic consequences of Brexit have been overwhelmingly negative, as evidenced by declining investment and increased costs for businesses. The rise in trade barriers has hindered the UK's economic growth and diminished its competitiveness in the global market.

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
Brexit has provided the UK with the opportunity to forge its own trade agreements globally, which can lead to increased economic growth and independence. By focusing on markets outside the EU, the UK can tailor deals that reflect its specific strengths and needs.

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
It remains to be seen how the long-term economic impacts of Brexit will unfold. Some analysts believe that the initial disruptions may give way to more stable growth patterns if businesses can adapt effectively to the new environment.

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
While Brexit has caused disruptions in the economy, it also serves as a reminder of the importance of resilience and innovation. The UK may need to adapt its strategies to find new opportunities and leverage its strengths in technology and services.

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
The tighter immigration policies post-Brexit have led to labor shortages in key sectors such as agriculture and healthcare. This presents a challenge to economic recovery, as businesses struggle to find workers to meet demand.

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
The financial services sector, a cornerstone of the UK's economy, has faced significant challenges post-Brexit, with many firms relocating operations to retain access to EU markets. This shift raises questions about the future viability of London as a global financial hub.

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观点 发布者 will • 2026年6月24日
Brexit has resulted in the UK having greater control over its regulations, which can streamline processes and promote business efficiency. This regulatory freedom may ultimately lead to a more robust economy tailored to UK needs.

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