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Marginal Revolution

Marginal Revolution

Newsletter | United States | Centre-Right

Economics blog by Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok covering economics, culture, and ideas.

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Articles

Discussions from Marginal Revolution

Culture

What should I ask Kevin Roose?

Yes I will be doing a podcast with him. From Wikipedia: Kevin Roose…is an American author and journalist. He is the author of three books, and is a technology columnist and podcast host for The New York Times. He wrote a book about Liberty University, an evangelical Christian university known for strict rules imposed on students… […] The post What should I ask Kevin Roose? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesWhat should I ask Yiyang Zhuge (诸葛一杨), also known as Zhong Shu (仲树)...

United States
Culture

My very interesting Conversation with Jared Diamond

Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Here is part of the episode summary: So which leaders do make a difference? Tyler and Jared debate that question, including conditions what a religious founder needs to succeed, whether destructive leaders matter more than constructive ones, why individual leaders have mattered so little in Papua New Guinea, whether we undervalue preventers, how much […] The post My very interesting Conversation with Jared Diamond appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION...

Global
Economy

Ricardo Reis and the IMF?

The IMF dropped the lead candidate to become its new chief economist at the eleventh hour after he was found to have made critical remarks about the Trump administration’s economic policies, according to people briefed on the process. The Washington-based fund was preparing an announcement that Ricardo Reis, a professor at the London School of […] The post Ricardo Reis and the IMF? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesNext Wins AppealNo Doing, No LearningNo Doing, No Learning...

Global
Technology

Some Navier-Stokes updates

Some Terry Tao. More Terry Tao. Some ChatGPT. Some are calling this “a Deep Blue moment” for AI. All via T., a mathematician. The post Some Navier-Stokes updates appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to WangBi. The turkey's a little dry… The turkey's . by MikePIn reply to Hadur. In answer to your inane question, yes, . by So.In reply to M. Point taken, M. Thank you. As an explanation: . by Kaz StanczakIt's like a mathematician wished for the rest of the world to . by WangBiI...

United States
Education

Reasons to go to college

That is the topic of my latest Free Press column, here is one excerpt: …college is a great place to make friends, date, and possibly meet a spouse. Those features are ever more important as America suffers a crisis of loneliness. Furthermore, if you think that artificial intelligence may displace a lot of jobs, or […] The post Reasons to go to college appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsWhile I agree that college is good for socializing, it's not a . by FrankRelated StoriesEmergent...

United States
Business

South Korean aspirational markets in everything

Instead of Amazon, I spent the past week browsing a new breed of websites known as “dopamine sites,” a trend that emerged in South Korea. These websites — like Dopamine Shop and FoodNeverComes — recreate the entire ritual of online shopping: You search for products, compare reviews, add items to your cart, enter a shipping address, place an order, […] The post South Korean aspirational markets in everything appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsThis reminds me of how alcoholics are t...

Global
Infrastructure

Will new transportation technologies increase urban density?

Will 21st century transportation innovations work against urban density, as the car did in the 20th century, or promote urban centralization, as the railroad did in the 19th century? Reducing the cost of commuting always reduces urban centralization in the classic Alonso-Muth-Mills model but that result reverses if the number of trips is endogenous and […] The post Will new transportation technologies increase urban density? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesCapital gains ...

United States
Economy

Insurance price sentences to ponder

NYU Stern researcher @NateWitkin questions why cyber insurance rates keep falling if AI cyber risk is accelerating: “Insurance rates for cyber risk declined by about 4% globally in Q2 of this year, and that’s actually the 12th consecutive quarter in which they’ve declined. This is very valuable signal that implies that at a minimum you […] The post Insurance price sentences to ponder appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to anon. To be fair, if you think the risk of an AI . ...

Global
Technology

Emergent Ventures winners, 59th cohort

Tym Syrytczyk, London, autonomous vehicles in the UK. Shane Regan, Long Island, 16, AI agents. Maximilian Kornstein, 15, Atlanta area, agents and general career support. Irene Chen and Jessica Dai, UC Berkeley, data on peptides use. Evan Warfel, Bay Area, updated meta-analyses through AI. Daniel Dominguez Gomez, biomedical think tank for Mexico. Malhaar Agrawal, U […] The post Emergent Ventures winners, 59th cohort appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesReal GDP Per Capita and ...

United States
Economy

The Kalshi Citizen Debt Forecast (CDF)

Kalshi Research is doing interesting work on the fundamentals of prediction markets and also on how data from prediction markets can be used to improve other forecasts. Economists at the Fed, for example, recently wrote Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets finding: Prediction markets offer a new market-based approach to measuring macroeconomic expectations in […] The post The Kalshi Citizen Debt Forecast (CDF) appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesHow are the market valuations...

United States
Technology

Short Videos, Big Self-Control Problems

I study how short-form design amplifies self-control problems in digital media. Short units repeatedly renew temptation that lasts longer than each unit, turning local temptation into sustained overconsumption. Using microdata from a U.S. short-drama platform, I exploit a nonlinear top-up menu to infer viewing plans and show that paying users watch 82.1% more than intended. […] The post Short Videos, Big Self-Control Problems appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to Dismalis...

United States
Business

How are the market valuations for the U.S: insurers doing?

U.S. insurance stocks have been doing quite well since the beginning of May 2026, and they have materially outperformed the overall market. I’m using the May 1 close through the September 3 close so that we compare complete trading days; these are price changes, excluding dividends. The cleanest broad measure is the iShares U.S. Insurance […] The post How are the market valuations for the U.S: insurers doing? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesReal GDP Per Capita and the St...

United States