Ir para o conteúdo principal
Marginal Revolution

Marginal Revolution

Newsletter | United States | Centro-Direita
marginalrevolution.com/

Economics blog by Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok covering economics, culture, and ideas.

Insights de Engajamento

10.54 pontuação
511
Discussões
6
Participantes
7
Total de Votos
730
Artigos

Discussões de Marginal Revolution

Educação

New Matt Faherty study of the NSF

From the Executive Summary: Therefore, the NSF, NIH, and the federal government should put far more resources and effort into developing metascience. With proper metascience efforts, the NSF could run experiments on science funding reform proposals, such as shifting to a people-over-projects funding model or directly funding replication efforts, and determine which reforms will most […] The post New Matt Faherty study of the NSF appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Comments“Therefore, the N...

United States
Participar do debate
Tecnologia

Astra Held Its Ground (Truth)

TheoPhysEval: We present a suite of 50 unpublished research-level theoretical physics problems with verifiable answers. Without AI assistance, a typical problem in our collection could be solved by a world expert in about a day or less but would take considerably longer for experts in adjacent specialties. We test the ability of off-the-shelf AI agents […] The post Astra Held Its Ground (Truth) appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsI initially put this under the earlier post, but it ...

Global
Participar do debate
Tecnologia

I guest host the NYT podcast and interview Dwarkesh

Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Excerpt: Cowen: Unreleased models — why are they important? Patel: As in the ones that are internal to the companies? Cowen: Well, many companies have unreleased models. Maybe it would cost too much to release them or they’re not safe yet, but the public doesn’t see them. Patel: […] The post I guest host the NYT podcast and interview Dwarkesh appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Commentswhat a treat by ParkerRelated StoriesWhy I do not use LLMs more...

United States
Participar do debate
Economia

My excellent Conversation with Liaquat Ahamed

Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Here is part of the episode summary: They start with that puzzle before moving through Gladstone’s startlingly self-interested bet on Egyptian bonds, Bismarck’s role in destroying bimetallism and deflating the world economy for two decades, whether a global silver or symmetallic standard could have worked, Britain’s fateful decision […] The post My excellent Conversation with Liaquat Ahamed appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related Stories*Plunde...

Global
Participar do debate
Tecnologia

Is Your Agent a Double Agent?

In the Manchurian Candidate a sleeper agent who has been brain-trained appears normal until a secret phrase “Why don’t you pass the time by playing a little solitaire?” triggers a state of hypnosis and control by the attackers. Connor Tabarrok, now with the AI safety firm Equistamp, has an excellent post on how exactly this […] The post Is Your Agent a Double Agent? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsSounds great. And they thought Huawei telecom equipment was a . by David Schatsky...

United States
Participar do debate
Sociedade

Well-planned African immigration to America will go fine

That is the topic of free latest Free Press column, here is one excerpt: The good news is that African immigrants already have done well in the United States. For instance, 46 percent of African immigrants complete a college education, well above the immigrant average of 36 percent and the native-born American rate of 37 […] The post Well-planned African immigration to America will go fine appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to ARAD. Countries have citizens and the governm...

United States
Participar do debate
Economia

Michael Woodford, Nobel Laureate

I think of Michael Woodford as the kind of economist who studies something very specific very intensively and tries to get it just right. But in his case he is not studying something small and irrelevant, he is studying “monetary policy.” I think of him as the economist who put monetary policy and “monetarism” — […] The post Michael Woodford, Nobel Laureate appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsWith another financial crisis likely in our near future, how do . by raywardWoodford took ...

Global
Participar do debate
Tecnologia

“I have no mouth and I must scream”

Worth a reread, here is a new report from the front: Our experiments suggest that small AI models may be months away from being capable enough to self-replicate on commercial IoT devices, like smart ovens and off-brand Android TV boxes. A replicator like this would be challenging to shut down, since there’s no centralized point […] The post “I have no mouth and I must scream” appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Related StoriesOkie-dokie, Casey Handmer editionThe economics of agentsEarth fa...

Global
Participar do debate
Cultura

What should I ask Fuchsia Dunlop?

Yes I will be doing a fourth (!) Conversation with her, based in part on her forthcoming book Five Tastes: Delicious Recipes for Chinese Flavors. I am sure it is excellent, and will read it very soon. Her works are not just great cookbooks, they are among the best books period. Here are my previous […] The post What should I ask Fuchsia Dunlop? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsIn reply to Gilles Rey. China isn't “rich.” Compare . by RobPIs her favourite colour fuchsia? by Joseph...

Global
Participar do debate
Tecnologia

Okie-dokie, Casey Handmer edition

I’ve been prototyping an automated peer review project. With current models you get human level peer review for about $0.10 of tokens. For $5 you can rederive every result, check every statistical inference, and audit every paper cited in both directions. There are about 100m papers in the scientific corpus. Most are not important. Many […] The post Okie-dokie, Casey Handmer edition appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsAs Zvi would say, the right amount of shit papers isn´t zero, . ...

Global
Participar do debate
Economia

Earth facts of the day

Global call center headcount is 5.3% below its December 2023 peak, ending more than a decade of growth. It has fallen year over year for eight straight quarters, a decline that started in high-income countries and coincided with the rise of AI chatbots. Call center support is falling behind other white-collar work in the same […] The post Earth facts of the day appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. CommentsAlso hopefully consumers will win the arms race in surfacing . by MI really do think t...

Global
Participar do debate
Economia

The economics of agents

From Patrick Collison: Assorted things I’ve been mulling over regarding agents in the economy: • Companies are in some sense the original superintelligence. It’s often the case that they can use their amortized cognitive surplus to advance their interests against those of certain consumers: relative to the optimization capacity of companies, consumers can be inattentive, […] The post The economics of agents appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Comments“the market is a massively parallelized...

United States
Participar do debate